Preseason Rankings
Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.4#330
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.7#217
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-18.5#348
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+6.0#27
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.3% 7.4% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.8
.500 or above 32.5% 46.1% 15.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.6% 4.3% 0.3%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 19.2% 7.9% 33.7%
First Four2.9% 3.6% 1.8%
First Round3.4% 5.0% 1.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morgan St. (Home) - 56.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 00 - 0
Quad 30 - 10 - 1
Quad 44 - 54 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Jan 02, 2021 323   Morgan St. W 61-59 56%    
  Jan 09, 2021 244   @ Norfolk St. L 52-62 18%    
  Jan 16, 2021 326   @ Howard L 62-66 38%    
  Jan 23, 2021 244   Norfolk St. L 55-59 36%    
  Jan 25, 2021 326   Howard W 65-63 58%    
  Feb 03, 2021 244   @ Norfolk St. L 52-62 19%    
  Feb 15, 2021 323   @ Morgan St. L 58-62 37%    
  Feb 17, 2021 244   Norfolk St. L 55-59 36%    
  Feb 22, 2021 326   @ Howard L 62-66 38%    
Projected Record 3 - 6 3 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.0 0.1 2.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.6 2.0 0.4 0.0 5.6 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 3.9 3.8 0.8 0.0 9.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.4 2.0 6.4 5.9 1.7 0.1 16.5 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 2.9 7.2 6.8 1.9 0.1 19.6 7th
8th 0.5 3.6 7.8 7.4 2.6 0.2 22.0 8th
9th 2.2 5.7 5.3 1.8 0.2 0.0 15.1 9th
10th 3.4 2.9 1.1 0.2 7.5 10th
Total 6.2 12.8 17.5 18.6 16.9 12.5 8.6 4.4 2.0 0.6 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 18.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 6.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.6% 42.2% 42.2% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
8-8 2.0% 31.2% 31.2% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.4
7-9 4.4% 19.7% 19.7% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 3.5
6-10 8.6% 13.7% 13.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 7.5
5-11 12.5% 8.2% 8.2% 15.9 0.1 1.0 11.5
4-12 16.9% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8 16.1
3-13 18.6% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.4 18.2
2-14 17.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.2 17.3
1-15 12.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.8
0-16 6.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.2
Total 100% 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 3.8 94.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 13.6 11.3 33.6 39.9 15.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 3.9%